14 Comments
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Bagholder's avatar

Can’t wait for the next five! According to Bayesian analysis, there is a high probability I will like them!

Masters of Compounding's avatar

Thank you so much! I’m putting in the work right now to make sure the upcoming data matches your theory’s predictions.

Millionaire Manifesto's avatar

Bayesian thinking is such a valuable skill to develop! Once you start thinking this way, you become much more resilient. It changes from "this didn't work" to "was this a tail event, or did I just terribly mis-estimate the probability? How can I update my mental model from this?"

Miles Hack's avatar

Stellar!

Gyaan Goli, the knowledge pill's avatar

This is such a fascinating piece. I have been drawn to mental models and system thinking. More recently I have been looking into multi-disciplinary thinking in frameworks. Gives me enough fodder for deep dives.

Systems thinking by Donella Meadows has been on my bookshelf for several years. I would highly recommend her book.

Masters of Compounding's avatar

Thank you for your feedback! I completely understand that desire, it’s largely why I started this project in the first place. It’s intense, but exhilarating.

Her book has definitely been helpful. Also, if in your research you come across a resource that could be a lifesaver, don’t hesitate to share it.

Gyaan Goli, the knowledge pill's avatar

Totally. Take a look at TRIZ methods that uses abstraction for find new solutions to known problems.

Oprahsbookclub's avatar

Thanks! Very interesting

Masters of Compounding's avatar

Thanks for your feedback, I really appreciate it!

AlphaMoative's avatar

Thanks for this. More concise than Donnatella Meadow's "Thinking in Systems".

Masters of Compounding's avatar

I cheated a bit, I split what I wanted to say about systems theory into a few points spread across several posts. But I get why it tends to add a little extra, the topic really invites that. Also, my second source, Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World, was way denser than Thinking in Systems, which, thanks to anchoring, actually made Thinking in Systems feel easier to digest.

Thanks a lot for your feedback!

Wealth GPS's avatar

Brilliant start to what promises to be an essential series. The value here is immense: transforming dense academic concepts into practical tools for navigating reality.

It’s exactly the kind of high-level framework younger thinkers need to sharpen their judgment and build a truly resilient mental library. Simply exceptional!

Masters of Compounding's avatar

Thank you so much, Elizabeth. My dark circles, my muscle tension, and I truly appreciate your kind words!

Wealth GPS's avatar

I'm sure this series took a lot, judging by how impressive the first post is. Unwind, let the muscle tension dissipate, the dark circles brighten, and let the post and the series ripple out, wider and wider. This series will stand the test of time!